Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 1.180376 1.402112 1.634464 1.894491 2.175854 2.469731 2.798527
2025-01-05 0.852573 1.158788 1.501431 1.906168 2.364794 2.862783 3.439109
2025-01-12 0.652103 0.989747 1.387356 1.875501 2.445935 3.080674 3.830341
2025-01-19 0.563177 0.936992 1.395494 1.974885 2.666955 3.450073 4.387572
2025-01-26 0.500835 0.904676 1.417739 2.081605 2.888433 3.813250 4.931692
2025-02-02 0.455912 0.887586 1.453289 2.200032 3.120544 4.186614 5.486238
2025-02-09 0.425685 0.885395 1.504084 2.334351 3.369575 4.578324 6.061115
2025-02-16 0.379859 0.854147 1.512195 2.411497 3.546678 4.883658 6.534515
2025-02-23 0.323090 0.798507 1.482061 2.435491 3.655295 5.105356 6.908309
2025-03-02 0.244980 0.696626 1.379601 2.358675 3.633372 5.166713 7.089865
2025-03-09 0.176736 0.597329 1.271547 2.267139 3.587170 5.194264 7.227537
2025-03-16 0.131122 0.528204 1.200892 2.220633 3.593883 5.282652 7.434602
2025-03-23 0.104808 0.494174 1.185066 2.254355 3.711618 5.517316 7.830552
2025-03-30 0.078461 0.452548 1.153977 2.265193 3.799494 5.716194 8.185588
2025-04-06 0.051695 0.397986 1.095487 2.232118 3.825705 5.835204 8.440894
2025-04-13 0.046401 0.400997 1.134322 2.341177 4.042079 6.193680 8.989641
2025-04-20 0.042578 0.407353 1.178667 2.458356 4.269565 6.566539 9.556573
2025-04-27 0.040368 0.418379 1.231246 2.588001 4.514282 6.961749 10.151709
2025-05-04 0.039976 0.435579 1.295041 2.734756 4.782631 7.387479 10.785113
2025-05-11 0.033918 0.430250 1.317404 2.818889 4.965914 7.705429 11.286251
2025-05-18 0.024264 0.405486 1.302215 2.845038 5.069495 7.921646 11.661870
2025-05-25 0.010796 0.346755 1.217575 2.761293 5.019874 7.940459 11.792079
2025-06-01 0.002670 0.288577 1.125875 2.661364 4.944135 7.922958 11.874903